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2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?

One-OffPolitique US Politics Élection1mois

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Ohio 78.7%

En tête parmi 10 options

Prévisionnistes

15

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

0.0 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 14 heures

Obsolète

1 juin 26, 08:48 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

Each answer the resolves independently from each other.

Resolves YES for a state, if the party who wins that senate seat controls the 2026 US Senate.
In the case of a 50-50 tie, this is a republican controlled senate, because of the vice president's tie breaking vote.
Example: if democrats win Alaska while republicans win Texas, with the end result being a republican controlled senate, then Alaska resolves NO while Texas resolves YES.
You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins senate control" market.
Update 2026-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For independent candidates (e.g., Nebraska's Dan Osborn):

Marchés ouverts

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? ?: Manifold Markets cote Ohio à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? sera-t-il résolu ?: 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
Comment 2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Each answer the resolves independently from each other.

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