KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Yashar 48.1%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Yashar 48.1%Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
108,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
42,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert élevéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
15 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC27 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiIsraeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketWill the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yashar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Yashar
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yashar, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Likud
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Together
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Together, then the market resolves to Yes.
- National Unity
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is National Unity, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bennett 2026
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Bennett 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yesh Atid
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yesh Atid, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 51%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 49%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Yashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 47%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Winner of Israel's legislative election · Likud 50%