Probabilité implicite actuelle
Likud 48%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidité
34 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
44.0% / 49.0%
Spread
11.4%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
15 juil. 25, 14:0027 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Likud48%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
0.5%3mo
+0.5%51%
34%
-0.5%12%
+36 résultats de plus
91 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total54,9 k €
Volume 24h444,6 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election in 2026 is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a parliamentary or legislative election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government.
- If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.