KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 17 88%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
10.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
11 août 26, 00:22 UTC27 oct. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Règles
If Likud has won the named outcome seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted.
- If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 17 à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? doit être résolu le 27 octobre 2027.
- Comment Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Likud has won the named outcome seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.