KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 4 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 4 96.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Above 4 96.5%Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
392,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,1 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 4Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 56 minutes
En retard20 oct. 26, 15:57 UTC11 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 4
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Ra'am win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?
KalshiMexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
If The Democrats has won above 9 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee
- If The Democrats runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. The Democrats refers to the party led by Yair Golan at issuance. A name change alone does not change its identity. If neither The Democrats nor a qualifying joint list or merged successor contests the election, its seat count is zero. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 4
- If The Democrats has won above 4 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If The Democrats has won above 6 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If The Democrats has won above 7 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If The Democrats has won above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If The Democrats has won above 9 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If The Democrats has won above 10 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If The Democrats has won above 12 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14
- If The Democrats has won above 14 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.