KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 6 (98%)
Résolu: 30 oct. 2026, 03:16
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Above 6
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
76%
ConsensusAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 oct. 2026, 01:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 399%
Above 581%
Above 73%
Above 676%
Above 83%
Above 111%
Above 3Perdu
Above 5Perdu
Above 6Gagné
Above 7Perdu
Above 8Perdu
Above 9Perdu
Above 11Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LimitlessWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the leader of the Likud party for the next Israeli legislative elections? 🗳️
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand legislative election winner?
PolymarketEl Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketEl Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 6 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee
- If Yisrael Beiteinu runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. Yisrael Beiteinu refers to the party led by Avigdor Liberman at issuance. A name change alone does not change its identity. If neither Yisrael Beiteinu nor a qualifying joint list or merged successor contests the election, its seat count is zero. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 3
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 3 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 5 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 6 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 7 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 8 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 9 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won above 11 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.