FutuurFerméVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 23:27 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Tendances
LikudRésultat en attente
TogetherRésultat en attente
YasharRésultat en attente
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This event predicts which political party or coalition will win the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the October 27, 2026 legislative election.
- Each market below corresponds to one listed party; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the official results published by Israel's Central Election Committee (Va'adat HaBehirot HaMerkazit), supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Tiebreaker rules: in the event of a tie for most seats, the market resolves in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes; if that produces a further tie, the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order wins.
- If Likud, Together, or Yashar (or any successor party created through a merger) merges with or contests the election jointly with any other party, the Likud, Together, or Yashar market represents the resultant candidate list.
- Otherwise, if a listed party merges with one or more unlisted parties, the listed party's market represents the merged list; if two listed parties merge, the market of the party with more prior Knesset seats represents the merged list, with alphabetical order as final tiebreaker.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Likud 99%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) 98%