KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore May 1, 2027 43%+18.0%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,6 k €
Liquidité
200,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
2.4%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
26 mars 26, 0:001 mai 27, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before May 1, 202743%
Comparer les plateformes· Before 2028
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 68% | — | 5,6 k € | 200,1 k € | il y a 22 minutes | |
 Polymarket90% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 19% | — | 1,2 k € | 33 k € | il y a 2 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
5mo
19%
10%
-0.1%0%
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total770,6 k €
Volume 24h1,2 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.5k83.0%POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? — Novinii-4 j
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? — Novinii-4 jTendance du volume
$6.3k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?
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KALSHI
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
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KALSHIWill Starlink spin out of SpaceX and IPO before the end of 2027?
43,9 €Oui: 12.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9,2 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.