Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 83%
Non 83%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
8
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.
- If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count.
- If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations.