Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle East3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Steve Witkoff 33%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 20 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,5 k €
Liquidité
243 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
12 août 26, 23:15 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Limitless[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
- The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
- Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves.
