PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81.2%-3.0pt
Qualite du marche
86 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
69,4 k €
Liquidité
111,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
11 août 26, 9:1931 oct. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
