Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
12.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineMoyen-Orient30j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81.2%+12.0pt
Non 81.2%+12.0ptQualité du marché
82 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
123,1 k €
Liquidité
22,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
18.0% / 19.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
14
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
30 sept. 26, 21:34 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
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- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
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- 1 points de pourcentage
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- Non
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KalshiRègles
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain.
- (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public announcement refers to an on-the-record statement issued by the Israeli national government or by its authorized representatives acting in an official capacity on behalf of the Israeli national government.
- A statement or press release issued by the Israeli national government or any of its agencies will qualify.