Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
One-OffÉlectionMiddle EastGéopolitiquePolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.7%
Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 déc. 24, 02:44 UTC1 janv. 27, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.
- The former Syrian Prime Minister, Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali, has been appointed the head of the caretaker government during a transition period.
- al-Jalali called for free elections to be held, in which the Syrian people can choose who they want to lead their country.
- Will Syria hold such elections, before the end of 2026?
- This market will resolve YES on a free election that elects a head of government or head of state, or members of a legislature that chooses (or the leading coalition of which chooses) a head of government or head of state, from its members or otherwise, or an election that elects electors to elect a head of government or head of state, or any other system through which it can be reasonably said for the people to have freely elected a head of government or head of state.
- If the election is a sham, or if the leadership positions are merely symbolic and true power remains with an unelected leader, that won't be sufficient for a YES resolution.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Syria underwent regime change on Dec 8th, 2024, when rebel forces took the capital, Damascus.