Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffEuropePolitique5moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète30 mars 26, 18:33 UTC28 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel and Syria normalize relations by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? doit être résolu le 28 février 2027.
- Comment Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X