KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 72%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
24.0% / 28.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
4 déc. 25, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketWill more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- The embassy or consulate must either be opened or have a confirmed opening date.
- Re-opening an embassy after suspended operations also qualifies.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 72% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.