PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 5%
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15,7 k €
Liquidité
14,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.8% / 5.3%
Spread
10.4%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
26 mai 26, 17:1330 juin 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Marchés Associés
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.
- Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.