Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 25%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,9 k €
Liquidité
21,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
10
Variation 7j
-5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
8 juil. 26, 22:21 UTC31 oct. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Greater Beirut by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Greater Beirut.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.