Will a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / UkraineChineAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.6%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
3 janv. 26, 19:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Yes if a resolution fitting that description (likely about 2025-2026 activity) would pass but is vetoed by any delegates representing US, UK, China, France, or Russia.
- Resolution must be meaningfully "about" US attacks on Venezuela or Venezuelan ships, not merely mentioning them.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market opened with a slight bias to YES due to the precedent of the veto of S/21048 on the US invasion of Panama.
