PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 4 95%+3.4ptEn tête parmi 29 options
October 4 95%+3.4ptQualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
81,7 k €
Liquidité
17,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
48.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
3 oct. 26, 15:37 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026?
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KalshiWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine targets Moscow through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Moscow time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ukraine, directed at Moscow.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.