Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète19 janv. 26, 13:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump visit Moscow (capital of Russia) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine target Moscow on?
PolymarketWas the Moscow concert hall attack a false flag?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the gay club known as 'Central Station Moscow' shuts down by the end of 2026 and is closed for 90 consecutive days.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- It will be presumed that Central Station Moscow has not shut down until there is reason to believe otherwise.
- In order for the market to resolve YES, the 90-day shutdown period must begin before the end of 2026 but does not need to occur entirely within 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+2.1pt12%
- Yulia Navalnaya-0.5pt7%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 285,1 k €
POLYMARKETWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Druzkhivka-4.5pt40%
- Kramatorsk-1.0pt19%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 138,5 k €
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China-5.5pt65.3%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt22.8%
- United States+5.2pt6.9%
+12 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202712%
- December-0.1pt4%
- September 30,-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt31%
- October 31-3.0pt18%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 91,7 k €
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt73%
- November 30,+1.0pt70%
- September 30,65%
+15 résultats de plus
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Russia military action against EU country by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Trump meets with Putin by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74.8% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the largest gay club in Moscow shut down in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria