PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Dopropillia 90%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
13,7 k €
Liquidité
134,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
11 mai 26, 20:06 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Dobropillia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 335,1 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.2pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,9 M €
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-5.5pt75%
- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Volume total
- 345,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 516,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 43 k €
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? ?
- Polymarket cote Dopropillia à 90% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.