Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsSportRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.8%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète13 juil. 25, 20:24 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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This market resolves YES if there are documented instances of long queues (>1 hour wait time) for basic consumer goods in at least 3 major Russian cities during 2025, as reported by major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg).
- Resolution will be based on multiple independent reports.
- Sources: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/03/is-the-kremlin-overconfident-about-russias-economic-stability https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/risks-russias-two-speed-economy-2025
- This is a duplicate of this market, but with the length extended to include 2026.
- Russia's economy faces significant challenges due to international sanctions and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
- While the Kremlin projects confidence about economic stability, some experts warn of potential shortages and economic instability in the future.