Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMoyen-Orient2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 23%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
December 31 23%+0.5ptQualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
29,5 k €
Liquidité
78,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-11.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 sept. 26, 15:28 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
September 23Perdu
September 30Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
- Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.