Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète13 mai 26, 21:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
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KalshiRègles
Will be resolved the same as the similar Polymarket question.
- Polymarket description:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket] ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket] doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will be resolved the same as the similar Polymarket question.