Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
GéopolitiqueQuarterlyRussie / Ukraine2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 73%
Non 73%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneTraders
12
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether a ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine will be formally reached at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying outcome means an officially announced ceasefire or peace agreement accepted by both parties.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, or jointly acknowledged agreements communicated through official channels.
- If an officially announced ceasefire or peace agreement accepted by both Russia and Ukraine is confirmed during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary battlefield pauses, unilateral declarations, or unaccepted proposals will not count.