By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
47
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète13 sept. 23, 20:40 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
Manifold MarketsU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
The question will resolve to yes if the interactive map of the Institute for the Study of War shows that Ukraine controls any part of the Crimea Oblast at the time when a ceasefire (or a peace treaty) is signed.
- The Crimea Oblast is as defined in the Ukrainian maps before the 2014 Russian invasion.
- It includes any outlying islands and other natural formations but excludes rigs or other man-made structures.
- If there is no ceasefire or peace signed until the end of 2026, the question will resolve to NA.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The question will resolve to yes if the interactive map of the Institute for the Study of War shows that Ukraine controls any part of the Crimea Oblast at the time when a ceasefire (or a peace treaty) is signed.