PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
John Brennan 22%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 24 options
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
483 €
Liquidité
595,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
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PolymarketWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
Marchés ouverts
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- Yes-2.0pt14%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be arrested before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote John Brennan à 22% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Comment Who will be arrested before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Who will be arrested before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.