PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJohn Brennan 28%-1.0%En tête parmi 24 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
394,4 €
Liquidité
195,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.3% / 3.9%
Spread
18.2%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+1.3%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
John Brennan28%
Comparer les plateformes· John Brennan
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global76% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 36% | +8pt | 1,4 k € | 315,3 k € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Moyenne | 28% | 0pt | 394,4 € | 195,7 k € | il y a 15 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Who will be arrested in 2026?
0.3%5mo
36%
+5.0%26%
23%
+21 résultats de plus
91 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total907,4 k €
Volume 24h1,4 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$4492 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
587,2 €Oui: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Obama arrested before 2027?
138,9 €Oui: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will be Ghislaine Maxwell's fate, per Wikipedia as of 2027-07-01?
43,9 €Alive and in custody: 88.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
237,3 €Oui: 20%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
13,7 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 7%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
6,5 k €Elissa Slotkin: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
California duo accused of laundering crypto from fentanyl and meth salesCrypto News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.