PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleJohn Brennan 51%+15.5%En tête parmi 24 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
121,7 €
Liquidité
176,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Résultat choisi
John Brennan51%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Who will be arrested before 2027?
6mo
49%
32%
7%
+22 résultats de plus
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution
Volume total17,5 k €
Volume 24h7,8 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
What will Trump say this week?
2 k €Epstein: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
743,2 €Oui: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Alien arrests in New York hit ___ by June 30?
712,2 €4800+: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
173,2 €Oui: 4.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future Accounts announcement?
141,3 €Epstein: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Gannon Van Dyke faces landmark Polymarket insider trading trialCrypto News
Washington man gets five years for laundering $97M in fraud proceeds Crypto News
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
Chinese Man Gets 10+ Years for Stealing 107 BTC Using Memorized KeyBlockchain.News
Bitcoin kidnap organizer Saif Faiq faces 20 years in prisonCrypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.