Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
2.5 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latineCriminalité et justice2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Référence enregistrée
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 15%En tête parmi 8 options
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar 15%Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1 k €
Liquidité
50 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
— / —
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán SalazarÉcart
—
Commentaires
2
Variation 7j
-5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
24 févr. 26, 01:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Audias Flores-SilvaGagné
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Profondeur du marché · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?
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PolymarketThe Five Proud Boys Leaders get one dollar or more compensatory or punitive damages.
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will meet before 2027?
KalshiWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.