Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
22.5 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffLatin AmericaCrime & Justice4mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Audias Flores-Silva 100%+23.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
28,4 k €
Liquidité
721 €
Faible liquiditéSpread
23.0 pt
Spread largeComments
2
Variation 7j
+23.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
24 févr. 26, 1:241 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
100%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.