Who will be arrested in 2026?
12.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineCriminalité et justice2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 08:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Ilhan Omar · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Ilhan Omar 32.5%En tête parmi 25 options
Ilhan Omar 32.5%Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,2 k €
Intérêt ouvert
464,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Ilhan OmarÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard23 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Ilhan Omar
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any Epstein client be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Ilhan Omar is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBC
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Ilhan Omar
- If Ilhan Omar is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Brennan
- If John Brennan is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mahmoud Khalil
- If Mahmoud Khalil is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Letitia James
- If Letitia James is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Anthony Fauci
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tom Homan
- If Tom Homan is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- James Clapper
- If James Clapper is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lee Jun-seok
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Candace Owens
- If Candace Owens is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Loretta Lynch
- If Loretta Lynch is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lee Jae Myung
- If Lee Jae Myung is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
- If José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Adam Schiff
- If Adam Schiff is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gavin Newsom
- If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lisa Cook
- If Lisa Cook is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brandon Johnson
- If Brandon Johnson is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joe Biden
- If Joe Biden is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bill Clinton
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kash Patel
- If Kash Patel is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Susan Rice
- If Susan Rice is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hillary Clinton
- If Hillary Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Barack Obama
- If Barack Obama is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Kerry
- If John Kerry is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pam Bondi
- If Pam Bondi is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Who will be arrested before 2027? · John Brennan 22%