KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleJohn Brennan 49%En tête parmi 25 options
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,8 €
Liquidité
4,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
48.0% / 50.0%
Spread
4.2%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
23 juil. 25, 14:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Résultat choisi
John Brennan49%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+12.5%49%
+14.0%43%
-6.0%42%
+21 résultats de plus
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total103,3 k €
Volume 24h121,7 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.