KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Lula and Milei 36%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
3 sept. 26, 23:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PolymarketWill an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketSitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Benjamin Netanyahu and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCCNBCBBC NewsABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleAl Jazeera English
- An in-person meeting requires both named people to be physically present in the same location and directly communicate or interact.
- Bilateral, pull-aside, sideline, informal, and multilateral encounters qualify when direct interaction is documented.
- Any duration qualifies.
- Mere attendance at the same event, proximity without communication, communication through intermediaries, remote calls or video, prerecorded appearances, scheduled-but-cancelled meetings, and passing encounters without purposeful acknowledgment do NOT qualify.
- If Benjamin Netanyahu and Ahmed al-Sharaa meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which leaders will meet before 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote Lula and Milei à 36% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which leaders will meet before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which leaders will meet before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which leaders will meet before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Benjamin Netanyahu and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.