KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Opposition bloc · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Opposition bloc 53%
Opposition bloc 53%Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
79,5 €
Intérêt ouvert
357,8 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Opposition blocÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
7 oct. 26, 23:30 UTC27 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Opposition bloc
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?
KalshiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
PolymarketWhich parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu run for the Israeli Knesset next election?
Manifold MarketsWill former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet be a member of the 26th knesset?
Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Elections Committee
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. The two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Opposition bloc
- If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Netanyahu bloc
- If the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.