Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient23j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
No Hormuz Agreement · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Référence enregistrée
No Hormuz Agreement 89%En tête parmi 3 options
No Hormuz Agreement 89%Qualité du marché
98 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
557,3 k €
Liquidité
1,3 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
— / —
No Hormuz AgreementÉcart
—
Commentaires
3
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
11 oct. 26, 16:51 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Profondeur du marché · No Hormuz Agreement
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
PolymarketRepublicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
PolymarketUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketIran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
PolymarketWill Europe find a peaceful agreement with Iran to pass the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 while the US/Iran war continues?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "Hormuz Agreement; D Senate" if a Hormuz Agreement is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- This market will resolve to "the named outcome" immediately if a Hormuz Agreement is not announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Hormuz Agreement: A "Hormuz Agreement" will be considered to have occurred if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is announced by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.