Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.1%
Prévisionnistes
83
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète8 oct. 22, 14:10 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:01 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Suggested resolution critera.
- This market resolves "Yes" if, according to the Institute for Study War, Ukraine is in control of any territory in Crimea.
- This market resolves "No" if, according to the Institute for Study War, Ukraine has control of 80% of either Luhansk or Donetsk Oblasts.
- This market resolves "Ambiguous" if neither happens or if there is a nuclear strike prior to either happening.
- Oct 8, 3:22pm: Will Ukraine invade Crimea before it takes back Luhansk or Donetsk? → Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
- Close date updated to 2024-01-01 12:01 am