Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (97.8%)
Résolu: 31 oct. 2026, 23:59
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
No
À 7 jours
89%
À 24 heures
97%
ConsensusChronologie des Probabilités
Yes2.4%
No97.6%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketIf Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWill the US military strike Houthi targets in Yemen before November 12, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if an official de Jure AND de facto bilateral ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia (or the Saudi-led coalition) and the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah) is publicly announced before November 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To resolve YES, the ceasefire agreement must be confirmed by official statements from both parties or by an official mediating body, such as the UN Special Envoy for Yemen or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Oman.
- Unilateral announcements: A unilateral declaration of a ceasefire by either side without mutual agreement or acceptance by the opposing party does not qualify and will resolve NO.
- Localized or humanitarian truces: Informal, unconfirmed reports, or limited local pauses in fighting do not qualify unless formally framed as a bilateral ceasefire agreement by both entities.
- If no formal ceasefire agreement is reached before November 1, 2026, the market resolves NO.
