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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Géopolitique
  3. Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

1.9% (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 7%+1.9%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

100 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

12,3 k €

Liquidité

146,6 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

6.6% / 6.7%

Spread

1.5%

Spread serré
Variation 7j

-1.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

5 nov. 25, 19:1031 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
April 30
April 30
0%
June 30
June 30
0%

Résultat choisi

December 317%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.