Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.4%
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14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète15 nov. 23, 13:59 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
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FutuurRègles
Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.
- Polling in various western countries tends to indicate that a generational shift is underway.
- A major tipping point in this shift will be when it is no longer domestically tenable for the US to officially provide military aid for Israel (e.g. supplying them with money/missiles as a regular budget item).
- Will this happen before January 1st, 2030?
- Edit: The US may still maintain diplomatic relations with Israel, recognize it as a state, consider it an ally, and even provide it with other kinds of foreign aid.
- This question will resolve solely on official military aid supporting Israel’s ability to wage war offensively and defensively (e.g. supplying monetary assistance for the purchase of weapons, and/or supplying those weapons directly, missiles for the Iron Dome, etc).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Previously nearly-universal support for Israel among the western political powers is starting to degrade.