Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineEurope2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.4%
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72
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète1 mars 25, 03:14 UTC1 janv. 29, 15:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.