Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsEurope2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.8%
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète1 mars 25, 03:14 UTC1 janv. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRègles
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.