Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 20, 2029 21.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jan 20, 2029 21.5%Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
357,4 €
Intérêt ouvert
73,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 20, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
26 janv. 25, 15:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
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- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 20, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Manifold MarketsWill Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?
Manifold MarketsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiTrump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.