Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
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209
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
10 févr. 24, 17:00 UTC21 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next president to be declared incapacitated by 25th Amendment section 4
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if during the US Presidential term starting January 2025, the Vice President and a majority of the Cabinet (or other relevant body) invokes Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to formally declare that "the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office" and cause the Vice President to serve as Acting President.
- The duration of the incapacity does not matter for this question.
- The President invoking section 3 of the 25th amendment does not count.
- The President exiting the office of the Presidency by death, resignation, etc does not count - in that event, the question resolves NO immediately, i.e. the President's successor does not count for the question.
- (Original pre-election title: Will the next President be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?)