PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
38,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
2.9% / 3.0%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
5 nov. 25, 18:16 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during the 119th congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Manifold MarketsWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.