Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.4%
Prévisionnistes
102
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 janv. 26, 11:47 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
- Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
- Resolves NO if he deploys such forces and completes his term (or leaves due to e.g. death or incapacitation)
- Resolves N/A if no unauthorized military deployment to Greenland occurs.
- Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Removal via military coup or other non-constitutional means would resolve NO.
- The market specifically tracks removal through constitutional accountability (impeachment/conviction) or political pressure (resignation) only.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via: