KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 61%-1.0pt
Qualite du marche
86 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
10,4 k €
Liquidité
381,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
61.0% / 62.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
3 déc. 24, 15:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If a representative of the the named outcome is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Mary Peltola 62% · 3 plateformes · bande de 1 pt
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Alaska US Senate Winner · Mary Peltola 56%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Alaska Senate Election Winner · Mary Peltola 61%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Alaska Senate winner? (Person) · Mary Peltola 59%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+10.0pt86%
- Yes-10.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 7,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 904,5 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt11%
+125 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom13.2%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 163,2 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.2pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff15%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio20%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 591,6 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Alaska Senate winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 61% au 24 août 2026.
- Quand Alaska Senate winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Alaska Senate winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Alaska Senate winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a representative of the the named outcome is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Alaska Senate winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Gemini, Polymarket, Kalshi.