Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
6.0 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientPolitique commerciale6j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 180 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
Above 180 79%En tête parmi 11 options
Above 180 79%Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
10,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert
8,1 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 180Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
6 nov. 26, 16:31 UTC17 nov. 26, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 180
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessRègles
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 180
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 185
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 190
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 195
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 205
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 210 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 230
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 230 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 170
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 175
- If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.