PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 6%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
90,4 €
Liquidité
17,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-19.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
18 août 26, 23:37 UTC30 sept. 26, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill the US bomb Oman by the end of September?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump bomb Oman?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Oman through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Oman.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Oman by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 6% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Oman by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Oman by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Oman by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Oman through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST).