PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 74%+14.0pt
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
434,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
33.0% / 39.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-24.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
9 sept. 26, 21:23 UTC31 oct. 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Oman by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Palestine be Annexed by Jordan or the UAE?
Manifold MarketsWill a significant number of Palestinians from Gaza be permanently resettled in Egypt and/or Jordan under Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Marchés ouverts
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+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- December 31+0.1pt60%
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+17 résultats de plus
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- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 289,1 k €
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- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
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- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Jordan by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote October 31 à 74% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Jordan by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Jordan by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.