Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
One-OffTrade PolicyGéopolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.7%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 août 26, 02:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, the official 7-day moving average of ships through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait falls strictly below 15.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The source is the 7-day moving average line on this page: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
- On Sunday Aug. 16, 2026, the value was 29.
- The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a vital maritime chokepoint connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria