Pour combien US va-t-il acquérir Greenland ?
Politique commercialeOne-OffOpérations sur titresPolitiquePolitique américaineGéopolitique2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
$0 / Aucune Acquisition · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
$0 / Aucune Acquisition 90.1%En tête parmi 8 options
$0 / Aucune Acquisition 90.1%Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
110,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
645,8 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
$0 / Aucune AcquisitionÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
17 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC22 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · $0 / Aucune Acquisition
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
Règles de chaque résultat
- $0 / No Acquisition
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $100 billion to $299 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $100 billion and $299 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $10 billion to $99 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $10 billion and $99 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1 billion to $9 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion and $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $300 billion to $599 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $300 billion and $599 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $600 billion to $899 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $600 billion and $899 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1.2 trillion or more
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is at_least $1200 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $900 billion to $1199 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $900 billion and $1199 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.