Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 86%
Non 86%Prévisionnistes
59
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 24, 23:52 UTC21 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.
- Excludes temporarily occupied territory within the context of an active military conflict.
- Excludes immaterial gains through the redrawing of international waters boundaries or immaterial gains through the redrawing of borders wherein the US also gives up territory.
- I determine materiality.
- The “spirit” of this market is whether Trump will pursue expansionism.
- INCLUDES territory seized with stipulations for relinquishment that include benefits to the US.
