KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 21, 2029 21%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
29,3 €
Liquidité
78,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
7 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
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- 22,2 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US acquire any new territory? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 21, 2029 à 21% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US acquire any new territory? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US acquire any new territory? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will the US acquire any new territory? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.