LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 4 sept. 2026, 05:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 93.5%
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
26 août 26, 13:051 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
3 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 7%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 8 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm 7% · 3 plateformes · 8 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
Marchés ouverts
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,96%
- October 31,+2.0pt91%
- October 15,+8.0pt66%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 44,2 k €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No-0.5pt93%
- Yes+0.5pt7%
- Volume total
- 2,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,3 k €
POLYMARKETOura IPO Closing Market Cap
- $20B++17.0pt38.3%
- $17.5B–$20B+2.5pt25.2%
- $15B–$17.5B-10.5pt23.4%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 560+1.0pt93%
- Above 58088%
- Above 600-1.0pt78%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.1pt59%
- SpaceX-0.5pt39%
- OpenAI+0.8pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
- Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ?
- Limitless cote No à 94% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.