LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96.7%
Non 96.7%Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
26 août 26, 13:05 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
PolymarketWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence inter-plateformes de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 3%.
Référence CoinRithm 3% · 2 plateformes · 0 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%