Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.9%
Prévisionnistes
152
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète25 déc. 24, 04:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If U.S. buys Greenland by EOY, will it be purchased for $500B-$700B?
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Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- • The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.
- • The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.
- • Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ·